Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.349258 3.548654 3.761189 4.005907 4.281596 4.584620 4.945761
2025-05-04 3.154184 3.439438 3.760702 4.154360 4.631085 5.200073 5.947647
2025-05-11 2.960043 3.300611 3.701342 4.218593 4.886394 5.748161 7.000216
2025-05-18 2.769525 3.142637 3.597282 4.210077 5.046765 6.207853 8.075751
2025-05-25 2.559361 2.939681 3.414690 4.075440 5.016734 6.401221 8.833939
2025-06-01 2.413775 2.804365 3.303805 4.020298 5.085848 6.753069 9.994948
2025-06-08 2.297205 2.696289 3.217522 3.986903 5.179131 7.164186 11.477060
2025-06-15 2.213722 2.624578 3.172653 4.005563 5.353571 7.758913 13.749543
2025-06-22 2.106121 2.513080 3.063393 3.915850 5.336630 7.999313 15.377712
2025-06-29 1.996369 2.392301 2.932596 3.780448 5.222542 8.021604 16.443230
2025-07-06 1.914937 2.305992 2.845269 3.704432 5.201488 8.234937 18.413239
2025-07-13 1.886404 2.290936 2.859089 3.788842 5.481648 9.205531 25.084089
2025-07-20 1.845685 2.261668 2.857444 3.861437 5.782989 10.456430 39.466635
2025-07-27 1.818175 2.249817 2.881482 3.981840 6.215570 12.400377 95.425154
2025-08-03 1.774888 2.212586 2.863781 4.028088 6.508486 14.230163 872.325326
2025-08-10 1.721439 2.157496 2.814114 4.011058 6.657345 15.745084 NaN
2025-08-17 1.649291 2.071240 2.709508 3.881624 6.510707 15.911533 NaN
2025-08-24 1.597403 2.013200 2.647231 3.826967 6.543177 17.028526 NaN
2025-08-31 1.553475 1.965214 2.598453 3.793523 6.625353 18.588889 NaN
2025-09-07 1.521710 1.934233 2.575635 3.808462 6.843401 21.456597 NaN
2025-09-14 1.474468 1.877577 2.506953 3.725212 6.769613 22.264454 NaN
2025-09-21 1.422667 1.812216 2.420882 3.600583 6.556837 21.762860 NaN
2025-09-28 1.383307 1.764887 2.363294 3.530391 6.494836 22.567525 NaN